Scientific Analysis of Trial Errors (SATE)

Bundles functions used to analyze the harmfulness of trial errors in criminal trials. Functions in the Scientific Analysis of Trial Errors ('sate') package help users estimate the probability that a jury will find a defendant guilty given jurors' preferences for a guilty verdict and the uncertainty of that estimate. Users can also compare actual and hypothetical trial conditions to conduct harmful error analysis. The conceptual framework is discussed by Barry Edwards, A Scientific Framework for Analyzing the Harmfulness of Trial Errors, UCLA Criminal Justice Law Review (2024) and Barry Edwards, If The Jury Only Knew: The Effect Of Omitted Mitigation Evidence On The Probability Of A Death Sentence, Virginia Journal of Social Policy & the Law (2025) < https://vasocialpolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Edwards-If-The-Jury-Only-Knew.pdf>. The relationship between individual jurors' verdict preferences and the probability that a jury returns a guilty verdict has been studied by Davis (1973) ; MacCoun & Kerr (1988) , and Devine et el. (2001) , among others.